
The primary firm Capital mentioned, in a latest report, that the explanations for the decline within the worth efficiency of the primary market index – Tassi, for the reason that starting of this 12 months because of a lot of causes, on high of which is the continuation of excessive rates of interest, the decline in oil costs, as Brent declined by 10 % for the reason that starting of 2025, summer season holidays, and sellers’ concern of geopolitical dangers.
Causes of declines
The primary Capital added that one of many causes can also be The revenues and income of the businesses listed within the Saudi inventory market declined in the course of the second quarter In comparison with the identical interval final 12 months, on account of the decline in oil costs, and the decline within the efficiency of petrochemical corporations of the character of periodic enterprise and because of the exhibition of the provision within the earlier intervals, particularly in Asian nations, and the affected demand of home and world demand by the excessive rates of interest.
The primary Capital acknowledged that the explanations included modifications in investor flows, as people particularly have turned to mounted earnings instruments freed from danger and excessive returns equivalent to the primary slide variations of Saudi banks that provide returns between 5.5% and 6.5%, and thus the desire went to the time and financial savings deposits that had been recorded in July 2025 its highest ranges since March 2009.
She defined that the weak liquidity within the Saudi inventory market from the start of 2025 till the date of this report just isn’t solely due to the buyers ’tendency in direction of mounted earnings instruments freed from dangers and extremely returned from sukuk, murabehs and deposits, but additionally due to the buyers’ tendency in direction of the alternatives of preliminary proposals and it represents a rise within the provide of the shares, in addition to the development in direction of the overseas markets, particularly the American inventory market by which Saudis traded in the course of the second quarter of 2025 increased Completely.
She identified that the summer season holidays interval additionally contributed to the weak participation of particular person buyers within the Saudi inventory market over the last interval, as the common every day buying and selling worth in the course of the second quarter amounted to 1.5 billion {dollars}, or about 5.63 billion riyals, in a transparent decline that displays the weak point of buyers ’urge for food in direction of native shares.
Alternatives and challenges in the course of the subsequent stage
Concerning the alternatives and challenges which will represent the options of the subsequent stage within the Saudi inventory market, the primary Capital acknowledged that the majority expectations now point out a excessive risk that the American federal reserve will cut back rates of interest by no less than 0.25% in its assembly this week, supplied that there will probably be 10 instances a further discount in rates of interest till the tip of 2026.
She acknowledged that China has not too long ago begun to take measures to eliminate the rise within the petrochemical provide, as most expectations from the World Vitality Company and Western nations consuming oil point out the inevitability of the lower in oil costs by the tip of 2026 AD, nevertheless it appears largely biased, and that the latest oil manufacturing momentum from OPEC+ led by the Kingdom has began to harm American shale oil corporations, which implies that they could be regularly affected within the coming intervals, however most expectations are The present present doesn’t take the chance of the anticipated sanctions towards Iran and maybe new sanctions on Russian oil in thoughts.
She added that subsequently, the rise in Saudi oil manufacturing, which began not too long ago with the opportunity of shocks within the provide, just isn’t at the moment taking into consideration in expectations, might result in the advance of the outcomes of Aramco’s enterprise within the coming intervals and thus elevating the outcomes of the full work of the Saudi market in addition to the results of lowering curiosity on the petrochemical sector and different sectors.
She acknowledged that the businesses listed within the Saudi inventory market – below the protection – and are anticipated to profit from the funding increase within the synthetic intelligence infrastructure, embrace Aramco, Akoa Energy, Saudi Electrical energy, Riyadh Cables, Saudi Telecom, Etisalat, Zain and Maaden.
She defined that there are various different listed Saudi corporations that can profit from synthetic intelligence purposes and enhance the adoption of corporations within the varied sectors of synthetic intelligence expertise, indicating that these corporations are troublesome to outline and are troublesome to measure the dimensions of their profit, however they are going to embrace corporations working within the well being care sector, the training sector, the banking sector and the monetary providers sector.
The primary Capital mentioned that for buyers who’re involved in regards to the fluctuations of oil costs and the shortage of neutrality of the expectations of world establishments in direction of its costs, it’s doable to concentrate on shares of corporations working within the non -oil sectors that at the moment are attaining robust efficiency on account of the Kingdom’s authorities’s plan to diversify the Saudi economic system, foremost of which is the Kingdom’s Imaginative and prescient 2030.
The primary Capital – a imaginative and prescient of the prospects of the Saudi inventory market



